Better Information = Better Decisions
The Colton Index is a true 'body-of-work' college basketball rating system. It was designed to do exactly what the NCAA Selection Committee claims to be trying to do: measure how one team's resume of wins and losses stacks up against others. Using the same data and input as the RPI (win/loss data only, not margin of victory), the Colton Index is much more accurate rating of a team's resume and of its strength of schedule.
Please review the three-part slideshow below examining the flaws of the current RPI system and how they can be addressed. For additional information and insights, check out the Colton Index blog.
Current Bracketology:
1: Ohio State, UCLA, North Carolina, Wisconsin
2: Florida, Southern Illinois, Kansas, Maryland
3: Washington St, Memphis, Texas A&M, Nevada
4: Pittsburgh, Georgetown, Winthrop, Oregon
5: Duke, Tennessee, UNLV, Virginia Tech
6: Arizona, Kentucky, Virginia, Southern California
7: Texas, Vanderbilt, Boston College, Stanford
8: Michigan St, BYU, Indiana, Missouri St
9: Notre Dame, Marquette, Georgia Tech, Louisville
10: Air Force, Villanova, Butler, Appalachian St
11: Creighton, Illinois, Old Dominion, Clemson
12: Georgia, Xavier, Davidson, Gonzaga
13: VCU, Vermont, Wright St, Long Beach
14: Toledo, Holy Cross, Sam Houston, Oral Roberts
15: Marist, Pennsylvania, South Alabama, East Tenn St
16: Delaware St, Austin Peay, Weber St, Central Connecticut, Miss Valley St
Last 4 In: Illinois, Old Dominion, Clemson, Georgia
First 4 Out: Florida St, Purdue, Alabama, Bradley
Next 4 Out: West Virginia, Kansas St, Drexel, Texas Tech
The RPI vs The Colton Index
Part I: Flaws in the RPI
A comprehensive examination of the inherent flaws in the RPI formula. The margin of error in the RPI numbers and all of it components is staggering...to the point that it's difficult to draw any logical conclusions from the numbers. Find out why the New RPI (with the 40% home/road adjustments) is even worse than the old RPI! And see how the flaws in the RPI system create opportunities for programs to easily game the system.
Part II: Introducing the Colton Index
An introduction of the Colton Index and how it solves most, if not all, of the flaws in the RPI.
Part III: Inside the Numbers
A closer look at the brackets last year to see the impact that 'the numbers' can have. Also, shows some cool applications and analysis that can easily be done using the Colton Index data.